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Red50
704516.8
85884.6
573216.8
Blue27
125713.2
7510.1
54909.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313410204050605027

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.4
14.115.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.2
red by 3.6
1257
#13
13.20.5
10.09.6
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Second
16.81.4
11.412.9
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End4.9
red by 6.7
75
#24
10.10.5
9.18.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
8588
#26
4.61.4
3.75.1
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End1.0
blue by 4.4
5490
#14
9.00.5
12.011.6
Auto1.1
Teleop5.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed