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Red27
75876.0
167213.2
87141.4
Blue39
181114.1
55511.6
36376.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2126010304050602739

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1672
#18
13.20.7
11.512.2
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End2.6
blue by 0.9
1811
#19
14.11.7
14.616.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.2
Second
7587
#29
6.00.7
6.67.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.7
End3.0
blue by 5.6
555
#9
11.61.7
6.27.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Third
8714
#33
1.40.7
2.53.2
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End-1.5
blue by 5.1
3637
#23
6.41.7
2.94.6
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed15%Hangar oddsMissed