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Red44
36376.4
704516.8
5610.7
Blue19
192321.1
85884.6
87141.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32270102040506070804419

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.5
12.914.4
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End4.9
blue by 4.3
21.10.7
18.117.4
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End5.7
Second
56
#17
10.71.5
11.613.2
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End5.8
red by 6.1
8588
#26
4.60.7
4.63.8
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Third
3637
#23
6.41.5
4.66.2
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.8
End5.1
red by 5.1
8714
#33
1.40.7
3.22.5
Auto1.6
Teleop1.2
End-1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsEarned12%Hangar oddsMissed