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Red1
7143.9
35153.8
86284.8
Blue69
4124.2
573216.8
331419.1
0%Model gave it100%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13610204080100169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8628
#28
4.81.7
8.06.3
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.6
blue by 19.4
41
#2
24.21.3
19.520.8
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End7.1
Second
714
#32
3.91.7
4.22.6
Auto0.8
Teleop1.6
End1.4
blue by 15.2
3314
#10
19.11.3
16.517.8
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End4.7
Third
3515
#27
3.81.7
6.14.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 13.0
16.81.3
15.516.8
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned