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Red65
55511.6
573216.8
20316.9
Blue12
85884.6
54909.0
35153.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51150204060801006512

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#15
16.90.8
15.816.6
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End4.6
red by 8.0
5490
#14
9.00.5
9.18.6
Auto1.1
Teleop5.2
End2.7
Second
16.80.8
16.917.7
Auto4.8
Teleop6.8
End5.2
red by 12.2
8588
#26
4.60.5
5.14.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Third
555
#9
11.60.7
10.611.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
red by 7.8
3515
#27DQ
3.80.6
4.43.8
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed