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Red83
622618.0
249525.6
192319.8
Blue47
542020.4
260726.8
36526.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions609302040801201401608347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.61.5
24.325.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.8
End7.1
blue by 1.2
26.82.4
28.325.9
Auto8.8
Teleop14.1
End3.8
Second
1923
#12
19.81.5
20.021.6
Auto6.6
Teleop10.0
End3.3
blue by 6.6
365
#16
26.42.4
30.628.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End6.0
Third
6226
#10
18.01.5
15.617.1
Auto8.7
Teleop5.8
End3.5
blue by 2.4
5420
#18
20.42.4
24.121.7
Auto3.2
Teleop10.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
53%Cargo oddsEarned78%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsEarned71%Hangar oddsMissed