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Red71
549011.4
116816.3
245814.6
Blue41
83418.6
167215.2
10211.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42502060801007141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.5
15.816.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End2.4
blue by 2.3
834
#7
18.60.1
19.018.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End7.5
Second
2458
#14
14.60.6
14.014.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End4.7
blue by 0.6
15.20.1
15.615.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End4.0
Third
11.40.5
10.911.4
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 0.3
102
#19
11.10.1
11.411.3
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End3.7