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Red52
22319.3
465318.5
457310.7
Blue61
140315.8
22218.0
181114.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5051304060705261

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
223
#18
19.30.0
19.119.1
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End6.9
red by 1.4
222
#10
18.00.2
17.617.8
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End5.1
Second
18.50.0
18.218.2
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End3.6
red by 2.7
1403
#16
15.80.2
15.415.6
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.8
Third
4573
#28
10.70.0
10.410.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.2
blue by 4.1
1811
#15
14.80.2
14.414.6
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.2