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Red19
1116.2
125716.8
10211.1
Blue4
25543.5
127914.5
457310.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39320102050607080194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.81.1
13.212.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End2.7
red by 2.3
1279
#21
14.53.0
10.87.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Second
11
#26
16.21.8
11.09.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End6.5
red by 5.5
4573
#28
10.73.0
10.37.2
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.2
Third
102
#19
11.11.8
11.49.6
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End3.7
red by 7.6
2554
#33
3.53.0
10.17.1
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
20%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
29%Hangar oddsMissed25%Hangar oddsMissed