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Red35
87718.0
60163.8
549011.4
Blue11
245814.6
19892.5
56668.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25190103040503511

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.40.3
9.39.6
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 3.2
2458
#14
14.60.8
9.38.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End4.7
Second
8771
#23
8.00.5
6.36.8
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End3.9
blue by 0.4
5666
#24
8.40.8
6.45.6
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Third
6016
#32
3.80.5
6.77.2
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.0
red by 1.3
1989
#25
2.50.5
2.62.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
19%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed