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Red32
436112.0
140315.8
85886.1
Blue14
69453.9
25543.5
114312.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2626102030403214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1403
#16
15.80.0
11.011.0
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End4.8
red by 3.6
1143
#12
12.30.7
9.28.5
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End4.8
Second
4361
#13
12.00.0
8.48.4
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End3.1
red by 8.0
6945
#37
3.91.2
8.47.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End0.3
Third
8588
#27
6.10.0
4.74.7
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.7
red by 2.7
2554
#33
3.51.2
7.05.8
Auto2.4
Teleop1.9
End-0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed22%Hangar oddsMissed