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Red50
314227.9
87718.0
116816.3
Blue43
181114.8
125716.8
46527.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44290102040506070805043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.7
22.623.3
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End5.4
red by 11.1
16.80.9
12.913.8
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Second
16.31.2
10.311.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 1.6
1811
#15
14.80.9
12.413.3
Auto3.5
Teleop7.1
End4.2
Third
8771
#23
8.01.2
6.37.5
Auto2.2
Teleop1.9
End3.9
red by 0.3
4652
#31
7.71.5
4.25.7
Auto3.1
Teleop0.9
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed15%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsMissed13%Hangar oddsMissed