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Red35
108911.2
69453.9
116816.3
Blue41
19315.0
259028.1
60163.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293902060803541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.7
11.512.3
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End2.4
blue by 11.8
28.10.6
20.220.8
Auto7.9
Teleop10.8
End9.4
Second
1089
#34
11.20.7
9.610.3
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 3.7
193
#11
15.00.6
10.010.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End5.2
Third
6945
#37
3.90.7
7.28.0
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End0.3
red by 0.1
6016
#32
3.80.6
5.05.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
11%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsEarned