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Red65
83418.6
811713.9
21918.2
Blue24
114312.3
80757.7
549011.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35280102040506070806524

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
834
#7
18.63.4
10.914.3
Auto4.8
Teleop6.4
End7.5
red by 6.4
1143
#12
12.30.2
10.410.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.0
End4.8
Second
219
#9
18.23.4
14.618.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.3
End5.9
red by 6.8
11.40.2
9.59.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End0.7
Third
8117
#17
13.93.4
6.810.2
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
red by 6.2
8075
#29
7.70.3
7.06.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned18%Hangar oddsMissed