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Red26
46527.7
457310.7
85886.1
Blue8
69453.9
10211.1
19892.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions182201030405060268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4573
#28
10.70.9
7.17.9
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.2
blue by 0.4
102
#19
11.11.7
11.19.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.8
End3.7
Second
4652
#31
7.70.9
6.27.1
Auto3.1
Teleop0.9
End3.8
red by 3.8
6945
#37
3.91.7
6.34.6
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End0.3
Third
8588
#27
6.10.6
4.34.8
Auto3.0
Teleop1.4
End1.7
red by 3.7
1989
#25
2.51.1
2.61.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
6%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed9%Hangar oddsMissed