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Red19
80757.7
69453.9
436112.0
Blue26
68603.0
56668.4
54387.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25180103040506070801926

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4361
#13
12.00.3
10.910.6
Auto4.5
Teleop4.3
End3.1
red by 3.6
5666
#24
8.40.7
7.56.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.0
End1.4
Second
8075
#29DQ
7.70.3
6.76.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 0.6
5438
#20
7.00.7
7.26.4
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Third
6945
#37
3.90.3
4.64.3
Auto2.4
Teleop1.2
End0.3
red by 0.9
6860
#30
3.00.7
3.12.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed16%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
5%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed