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Red46
19892.5
457310.7
314227.9
Blue68
465318.5
22319.3
116816.3
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34550204060801004668

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.8
25.226.0
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End5.4
red by 8.5
223
#18
19.31.8
17.319.2
Auto5.9
Teleop6.6
End6.9
Second
4573
#28
10.71.1
7.99.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.6
End4.2
blue by 7.8
18.51.8
17.118.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End3.6
Third
1989
#25
2.50.8
1.52.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 13.8
16.31.8
14.716.5
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed30%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
14%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned