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Red40
314227.9
35153.9
549011.4
Blue6
60163.8
54387.0
26007.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39250102030506070406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.90.4
21.922.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End5.4
red by 20.8
5438
#20
7.02.6
9.16.6
Auto1.8
Teleop4.0
End1.3
Second
11.40.4
9.09.3
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End0.7
red by 4.4
2600
#22
7.01.5
6.85.3
Auto2.5
Teleop2.7
End1.8
Third
3515
#36
3.90.4
3.84.3
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.9
red by 0.1
6016
#32
3.82.6
9.26.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
17%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed