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Red30
19892.5
60163.8
125716.8
Blue72
314227.9
19315.0
22218.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1865040801001203072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.80.1
16.216.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End2.7
blue by 11.1
27.91.1
26.027.1
Auto9.1
Teleop13.4
End5.4
Second
6016
#32
3.80.1
4.44.4
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.0
blue by 14.2
222
#10
18.01.5
15.617.1
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End5.1
Third
1989
#25
2.50.1
2.22.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 12.5
193
#11
15.01.5
13.515.0
Auto2.7
Teleop7.1
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed48%Hangar oddsEarned