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Red55
549011.4
811713.9
465318.5
Blue51
127914.5
1116.2
167215.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395002060805551

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.51.1
17.818.9
Auto3.4
Teleop11.5
End3.6
red by 2.3
11
#26
16.20.2
14.814.9
Auto4.7
Teleop5.0
End6.5
Second
8117
#17
13.91.2
10.811.9
Auto3.7
Teleop6.0
End4.2
blue by 1.3
15.20.1
16.216.3
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End4.0
Third
11.40.9
9.310.1
Auto2.4
Teleop8.3
End0.7
blue by 3.1
1279
#21
14.50.1
14.314.4
Auto3.2
Teleop7.7
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
25%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsMissed30%Hangar oddsMissed