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Red22
80757.7
116816.3
19892.5
Blue19
167215.2
108911.2
35153.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28350102040506070802219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.30.4
16.416.0
Auto5.7
Teleop8.2
End2.4
red by 1.1
15.20.9
16.315.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.1
End4.0
Second
8075
#29
7.70.4
8.17.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.8
End1.1
blue by 3.6
1089
#34
11.21.1
11.310.2
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End1.4
Third
1989
#25
2.50.4
2.82.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop2.5
End0.3
blue by 1.4
3515
#36
3.90.9
4.83.9
Auto1.8
Teleop1.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsMissed