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Red81
167629.5
331426.7
127920.1
Blue51
2525.0
22225.8
21917.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions857550607080901001101208151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.50.1
30.330.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End11.4
red by 3.7
222
#8
25.80.5
26.726.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End8.4
Second
26.70.1
27.427.5
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End9.8
red by 1.7
25
#10
25.00.5
25.925.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.2
End9.1
Third
1279
#27
20.10.1
20.820.9
Auto4.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4
red by 2.2
219
#35
17.90.5
18.818.3
Auto6.1
Teleop9.3
End2.5