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Red53
245819.5
871410.0
140326.8
Blue64
851312.4
29316.6
191432.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415002060801001201405364

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.80.9
20.621.5
Auto8.7
Teleop10.8
End7.2
blue by 5.5
32.21.2
24.625.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End7.8
Second
19.50.9
16.217.1
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End6.9
red by 3.0
293
#18
16.61.2
10.011.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.4
Third
8714
#30
10.00.9
3.03.9
Auto3.4
Teleop4.2
End2.4
blue by 2.4
8513
#19
12.42.0
11.513.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsMissed33%Hangar oddsEarned