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Red28
2047.9
436114.5
813917.9
Blue54
7520.7
543817.0
689717.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444430405060702854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8139
#15
17.91.2
16.515.3
Auto4.9
Teleop7.6
End5.3
blue by 2.8
75
#16
20.70.5
14.815.3
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Second
4361
#24
14.51.2
15.714.5
Auto5.1
Teleop5.4
End4.0
blue by 2.9
6897
#17
17.40.5
14.515.0
Auto4.5
Teleop7.6
End5.4
Third
204
#31
7.91.2
9.28.0
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End1.6
blue by 9.0
5438
#14
17.00.5
12.613.2
Auto5.9
Teleop8.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
29%Cargo oddsMissed8%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed12%Hangar oddsEarned