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Red78
192329.1
191432.2
851312.4
Blue53
167629.5
331426.7
127920.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798540601001201407853

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.20.2
32.532.3
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End7.8
red by 2.7
29.50.6
30.429.8
Auto6.7
Teleop11.5
End11.4
Second
29.10.2
29.429.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.1
End6.9
red by 2.4
26.70.6
27.527.0
Auto7.0
Teleop9.9
End9.8
Third
8513
#19
12.40.2
12.712.5
Auto4.3
Teleop4.6
End3.5
blue by 7.7
1279
#27
20.10.6
20.920.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.0
End3.4