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Red82
7520.7
5621.5
29316.6
Blue78
4133.6
1126.2
3037.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions597520401001208278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#12
21.50.5
21.121.5
Auto5.5
Teleop4.7
End11.2
blue by 12.1
41
#7
33.60.2
34.134.3
Auto8.1
Teleop18.3
End7.1
Second
75
#16
20.70.5
20.320.8
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End4.2
blue by 5.5
11
#3
26.20.2
26.626.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.8
End11.0
Third
293
#18
16.60.5
16.216.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.3
End3.4
red by 9.2
303
#34
7.30.2
7.88.0
Auto5.0
Teleop0.4
End2.0