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Red67
811714.6
180729.3
540710.4
Blue58
218017.9
711017.0
511310.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions553902060801006758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.9
22.523.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End9.4
red by 11.4
2180
#14
17.91.3
14.115.4
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
Second
8117
#30
14.61.0
13.914.9
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.8
blue by 2.4
7110
#24
17.01.3
16.217.5
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
5407
#26
10.40.9
13.214.1
Auto2.2
Teleop4.8
End3.3
blue by 0.5
5113
#27
10.91.3
8.59.8
Auto5.7
Teleop2.5
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
25%Hangar oddsEarned37%Hangar oddsMissed