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Red74
253934.9
68601.5
249521.9
Blue47
622620.6
219111.1
811714.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5246204060801007447

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.91.5
30.031.5
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End12.3
red by 14.3
6226
#15
20.60.2
18.018.3
Auto9.6
Teleop9.0
End2.1
Second
2495
#11
21.91.5
17.518.9
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
red by 7.3
8117
#30
14.60.2
14.314.5
Auto5.1
Teleop4.7
End4.8
Third
6860
#34
1.51.5
0.72.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop0.6
End0.9
blue by 9.7
2191
#23
11.10.3
11.511.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsEarned28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned10%Hangar oddsMissed