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Red58
218017.9
108923.3
16475.8
Blue56
511310.9
249521.9
272210.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38462060801005856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.30.9
17.318.2
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End1.3
red by 1.3
2495
#11
21.90.6
18.919.6
Auto6.5
Teleop9.6
End5.8
Second
2180
#14
17.90.9
15.816.7
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.2
red by 7.0
5113
#27
10.90.6
11.912.5
Auto5.7
Teleop2.5
End2.7
Third
1647
#28
5.80.9
3.34.3
Auto2.6
Teleop1.3
End2.0
blue by 4.9
2722
#29
10.80.6
11.612.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
6%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsEarned