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Red48
465320.7
813911.4
568415.3
Blue23
692112.0
272210.8
465210.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534102060801004823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4653
#12
20.70.0
20.720.7
Auto5.1
Teleop12.0
End3.6
red by 8.7
6921
#17
12.01.5
16.915.3
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Second
5684
#25
15.30.0
15.515.5
Auto7.3
Teleop6.4
End1.6
red by 4.4
4652
#18
10.91.1
12.211.1
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End5.7
Third
8139
#22
11.40.0
11.911.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.7
End2.7
red by 0.7
2722
#29
10.81.1
10.99.8
Auto3.2
Teleop4.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
41%Cargo oddsMissed22%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed36%Hangar oddsMissed