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Red44
511310.9
465210.9
573221.6
Blue43
8169.3
692112.0
542025.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45520204060801004443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.60.2
21.521.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.9
End4.7
blue by 3.5
25.10.6
25.324.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.0
End5.9
Second
4652
#18
10.90.2
10.810.6
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End5.7
blue by 1.0
6921
#17
12.00.6
12.612.0
Auto3.1
Teleop4.2
End4.7
Third
5113
#27
10.90.2
10.610.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.5
End2.7
red by 1.6
816
#32
9.30.6
9.99.3
Auto2.9
Teleop2.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
10%Cargo oddsMissed34%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
20%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsMissed