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Red91
180729.3
253934.9
219111.1
Blue91
83427.4
434230.2
711017.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80796070901009191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.90.4
34.735.1
Auto7.9
Teleop14.7
End12.3
red by 4.7
30.20.2
30.030.2
Auto8.9
Teleop11.9
End9.4
Second
29.30.4
29.229.5
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End9.4
red by 1.9
834
#5
27.40.2
27.227.4
Auto8.5
Teleop10.4
End8.4
Third
2191
#23
11.10.4
10.911.3
Auto3.1
Teleop7.9
End0.2
blue by 5.9
7110
#24
17.00.2
16.817.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.1