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Red67
842212.3
87638.1
33138.6
Blue59
32759.4
363033.9
81889.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64552040806759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
38.10.0
38.038.0
Auto9.2
Teleop18.0
End10.8
red by 4.2
3630
Unranked
33.90.1
33.733.9
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End7.8
Second
8422
Unranked
12.30.0
12.112.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.0
End10.2
red by 2.6
8188
Unranked
9.60.1
9.59.6
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End6.3
Third
3313
Unranked
8.60.0
8.58.5
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End0.7
blue by 0.8
3275
Unranked
9.40.1
9.29.4
Auto3.6
Teleop1.2
End4.5