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Qual 12022 NMRC Open
Red40
33138.6
253810.9
467416.4
Blue9
60456.2
472818.3
81889.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions445802080100120140409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4674
Unranked
16.40.5
17.7→17.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End12.2
blue by 1.9
4728
Unranked
18.32.9
30.2→27.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.3
Second
2538
Unranked
10.90.6
12.7→12.1
Auto3.8
Teleop0.8
End6.3
red by 1.2
8188
Unranked
9.63.6
11.8→8.3
Auto2.5
Teleop0.9
End6.3
Third
3313
Unranked
8.60.5
12.7→12.2
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End0.7
red by 2.4
6045
Unranked
6.23.6
10.5→7.0
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
4%Cargo oddsMissed27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsMissed