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Red62
60456.2
363033.9
327710.2
Blue37
842212.3
467416.4
565312.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66510204060801006237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
Unranked
33.90.1
39.339.4
Auto7.4
Teleop18.7
End7.8
red by 17.5
4674
Unranked
16.40.9
17.917.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End12.2
Second
3277
Unranked
10.20.1
13.914.0
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
blue by 2.1
5653
Unranked
12.30.9
16.515.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End7.6
Third
6045
Unranked
6.20.1
7.27.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.9
End0.4
blue by 6.0
8422
Unranked
12.30.9
15.514.7
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.0
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsEarned4%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
23%Hangar oddsMissed91%Hangar oddsEarned