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Red14
423810.1
565312.3
472818.3
Blue57
591335.6
327710.2
467416.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577202040801001201457

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4728
Unranked
18.33.0
24.721.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.2
End7.3
blue by 17.2
5913
Unranked
35.60.8
34.333.5
Auto11.5
Teleop16.3
End7.8
Second
5653
Unranked
12.33.0
15.612.6
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End7.6
blue by 4.0
4674
Unranked
16.40.8
17.016.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End12.2
Third
4238
Unranked
10.13.0
15.012.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.6
End3.2
blue by 0.2
3277
Unranked
10.20.8
14.013.1
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
23%Cargo oddsMissed36%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed72%Hangar oddsEarned