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Red69
467416.4
453920.0
310216.2
Blue17
33138.6
842212.3
72359.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53350204060801006917

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4539
Unranked
20.01.2
18.019.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.4
End4.8
red by 7.7
8422
Unranked
12.31.2
14.413.1
Auto2.0
Teleop-0.0
End10.2
Second
4674
Unranked
16.41.2
14.015.2
Auto2.9
Teleop1.2
End12.2
red by 7.3
7235
Unranked
9.01.2
9.68.3
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End5.1
Third
3102
Unranked
16.21.2
15.516.7
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 7.6
3313
Unranked
8.61.2
11.410.1
Auto2.9
Teleop5.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
7%Cargo oddsMissed5%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
77%Hangar oddsEarned50%Hangar oddsMissed