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Qual 32022 NMRC Open
Red56
310216.2
313420.4
72359.0
Blue38
327710.2
565312.3
563816.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485201001502005638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
Unranked
20.40.7
22.9→23.6
Auto5.3
Teleop4.6
End10.5
red by 4.1
5638
Unranked
16.30.7
16.5→15.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
3102
Unranked
16.20.7
13.9→14.6
Auto4.6
Teleop7.5
End4.1
red by 3.9
5653
Unranked
12.30.7
17.5→16.8
Auto3.8
Teleop1.0
End7.6
Third
7235
Unranked
9.00.7
8.4→9.1
Auto1.9
Teleop2.1
End5.1
blue by 1.2
3277
Unranked
10.20.7
14.6→13.9
Auto1.8
Teleop6.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed28%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsMissed