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Red79
310213.9
87641.4
331312.7
Blue68
565317.5
591334.3
467417.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions747340506080901007968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
876
Unranked
41.40.1
41.341.4
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End10.2
red by 7.0
5913
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto11.1
Teleop17.0
End6.2
Second
3102
Unranked
13.90.1
13.813.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End2.3
blue by 3.7
4674
Unranked
17.70.0
17.717.7
Auto3.6
Teleop2.6
End11.5
Third
3313
Unranked
12.70.1
12.612.7
Auto3.9
Teleop5.7
End3.1
blue by 4.8
5653
Unranked
17.50.0
17.517.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2