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Red45
423815.1
645318.7
525311.5
Blue55
767715.6
448017.2
842215.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5049304060704555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6453
Unranked
18.70.0
18.718.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.6
End11.0
red by 1.5
4480
Unranked
17.20.2
16.917.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
Second
4238
Unranked
15.10.0
15.115.1
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
blue by 0.4
7677
Unranked
15.60.2
15.215.4
Auto4.4
Teleop6.6
End4.6
Third
5253
Unranked
11.50.0
11.511.5
Auto4.3
Teleop0.5
End6.6
blue by 4.0
8422
Unranked
15.50.2
15.215.3
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End10.7