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Red36
423815.1
46239.8
565317.5
Blue48
842215.5
72358.4
448017.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434220304050603648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5653
Unranked
17.50.2
16.716.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End9.2
red by 0.3
4480
Unranked
17.20.5
17.017.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.6
End8.8
Second
4238
Unranked
15.10.2
13.513.2
Auto5.0
Teleop4.8
End5.4
blue by 0.4
8422
Unranked
15.50.5
15.616.1
Auto2.7
Teleop2.1
End10.7
Third
4623
Unranked
9.80.2
9.59.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.6
End2.4
red by 1.4
7235
Unranked
8.40.5
7.78.2
Auto2.4
Teleop1.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
32%Hangar oddsMissed68%Hangar oddsEarned