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Red115
441545.3
238330.8
802214.3
Blue96
418328.9
98748.8
99116.5
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95101608012014016011596

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.2
45.145.3
Auto12.1
Teleop20.0
End13.2
blue by 3.5
987
#2
48.80.0
48.848.8
Auto14.0
Teleop22.4
End12.4
Second
30.80.2
30.630.8
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End7.2
red by 2.0
4183
#18
28.90.0
28.828.9
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
Third
8022
#19
14.30.3
14.014.3
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 2.2
991
#31
16.50.0
16.416.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.4
End4.8