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Red53
300920.5
418328.9
742515.6
Blue57
240331.2
74235.3
742414.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484502060801005357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4183
#18
28.90.5
21.121.6
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End11.2
blue by 2.4
31.20.4
26.927.3
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Second
3009
#14
20.50.5
14.715.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End9.1
red by 6.0
7424
#22
14.50.7
9.09.8
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
Third
7425
#20
15.60.9
9.210.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.8
red by 10.2
7423
#36
5.30.7
6.47.2
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
30%Cargo oddsMissed21%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
35%Hangar oddsEarned25%Hangar oddsEarned