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Red35
802214.3
585118.4
74235.3
Blue58
113821.8
71835.5
49828.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35510204060801003558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5851
#21
18.40.0
16.816.8
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End9.0
blue by 9.8
498
#4
28.20.5
24.725.3
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Second
8022
#19
14.30.0
9.09.0
Auto5.9
Teleop3.8
End4.5
blue by 7.5
21.80.5
13.413.9
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End6.7
Third
7423
#36
5.30.0
9.19.1
Auto0.7
Teleop3.7
End1.0
blue by 0.2
7183
#41
5.50.9
7.78.6
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed61%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed31%Hangar oddsEarned