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Red39
68215.6
330923.5
76549.2
Blue50
385916.8
87207.3
473823.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363420304050603950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#13
23.50.4
19.419.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End6.7
red by 0.2
4738
#16
23.31.3
17.218.5
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End2.1
Second
7654
#39
9.20.6
8.08.7
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End0.5
blue by 7.6
3859
#23
16.81.2
9.810.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End5.9
Third
6821
#44
5.60.4
6.06.4
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End2.9
blue by 1.7
8720
#40
7.31.9
5.67.5
Auto3.5
Teleop2.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
12%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed