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Red44
580014.2
68215.6
473823.3
Blue65
808712.5
210229.6
49828.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33700204060801001204465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#16
23.30.5
18.518.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End2.1
blue by 6.4
29.60.3
24.825.0
Auto11.1
Teleop11.1
End7.4
Second
5800
#32
14.20.9
10.810.0
Auto3.7
Teleop3.9
End6.6
blue by 14.0
498
#4
28.20.3
25.325.5
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
Third
6821
#44
5.60.5
6.45.9
Auto1.9
Teleop0.8
End2.9
blue by 6.9
8087
#35DQ
12.50.3
11.211.4
Auto3.4
Teleop3.5
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
5%Cargo oddsMissed66%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed47%Hangar oddsEarned