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Red89
49828.2
742414.5
699529.8
Blue78
240331.2
300920.5
330923.5
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66734060801001208978

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.81.5
24.926.4
Auto8.2
Teleop8.1
End13.4
blue by 1.5
31.20.4
29.029.4
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
Second
498
#4
28.21.5
26.327.8
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
red by 4.7
3309
#13
23.50.4
20.120.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.5
End6.7
Third
7424
#22
14.52.5
11.514.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.6
End5.9
blue by 6.0
3009
#14
20.50.4
18.218.6
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned47%Hangar oddsEarned