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Red44
138820.2
742515.6
74229.6
Blue18
54299.8
76549.2
71835.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions542404060801004418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1388
#17
20.20.2
22.622.4
Auto7.3
Teleop10.2
End2.8
red by 10.5
5429
#34
9.81.3
8.47.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.8
End2.9
Second
7425
#20
15.60.3
15.014.8
Auto4.5
Teleop7.2
End3.8
red by 6.3
7654
#39
9.21.4
8.67.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End0.5
Third
7422
#42
9.60.3
9.18.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.9
End2.0
red by 4.1
7183
#41
5.51.3
9.27.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
36%Cargo oddsEarned11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed7%Hangar oddsMissed