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Red76
49828.2
385916.8
300920.5
Blue66
641516.6
699529.8
9888.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6649204060801007666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#4
28.21.1
27.828.9
Auto5.7
Teleop15.2
End7.3
blue by 1.6
29.81.2
26.427.5
Auto8.2
Teleop8.1
End13.4
Second
3009
#14
20.51.1
18.619.7
Auto5.3
Teleop6.0
End9.1
red by 3.9
6415
#30
16.61.8
12.514.4
Auto5.4
Teleop3.4
End7.8
Third
3859
#23
16.81.1
13.014.1
Auto4.8
Teleop6.1
End5.9
red by 8.5
988
#37
8.31.8
9.311.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
70%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned