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Red82
210229.6
800512.9
240331.2
Blue88
473823.3
238330.8
68259.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7862401001208288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.20.7
29.430.2
Auto9.5
Teleop16.3
End5.5
red by 0.4
30.81.6
30.932.5
Auto8.4
Teleop15.3
End7.2
Second
29.60.7
27.728.4
Auto11.1
Teleop11.1
End7.4
red by 6.4
4738
#16
23.31.6
20.121.7
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End2.1
Third
8005
#25
12.91.2
13.714.9
Auto6.0
Teleop3.2
End3.7
red by 3.1
6825
#26
9.82.7
9.111.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
45%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned31%Hangar oddsEarned